SV Drochtersen/Assel vs Weiche Flensburg: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Kehdinger Stadion, Drochtersen
The Footlab model makes SV Drochtersen/Assel the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Weiche Flensburg. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SV Drochtersen/Assel vs Weiche Flensburg?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate SV Drochtersen/Assel (2,030) and Weiche Flensburg (1,949).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Drochtersen/Assel have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Weiche Flensburg have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hamburger SV II(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hannover 96 II(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Paderborn II(away) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(home) | 5-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 5-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SV Drochtersen/Assel win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Weiche Flensburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel 3-1 Weiche Flensburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Weiche Flensburg 3-2 SV Drochtersen/Assel | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Nov 15, 2024 | SV Drochtersen/Assel 3-0 Weiche Flensburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 2, 2024 | Weiche Flensburg 1-0 SV Drochtersen/Assel | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Weiche Flensburg 2-2 SV Drochtersen/Assel | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 5, 2023 | SV Drochtersen/Assel 0-0 Weiche Flensburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: SV Drochtersen/Assel vs Weiche Flensburg on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SV Drochtersen/Assel score 2.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Weiche Flensburg score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Drochtersen/Assel | 2.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
| Weiche Flensburg | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SV Drochtersen/Assel sit 8th in Regionalliga - Nord (6 points from 4 matches) and Weiche Flensburg sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weiche Flensburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 13 |
| 8 | SV Drochtersen/Assel | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SV Drochtersen/Assel vs Weiche Flensburg?
- The Footlab model makes SV Drochtersen/Assel the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Weiche Flensburg.
- Where and when is SV Drochtersen/Assel vs Weiche Flensburg played?
- SV Drochtersen/Assel vs Weiche Flensburg is played on April 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Kehdinger Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027Werder Bremen IIvsVfB Lübeck
- Apr 17, 2027Bremer SVvsTodesfelde
- Apr 17, 2027HSC HannovervsEintracht Norderstedt
- Apr 17, 2027Hannover 96 IIvsSSV Jeddeloh
- Apr 17, 2027St. Pauli IIvsHamburger SV II
- Apr 17, 2027Kickers EmdenvsVfB Oldenburg
- Apr 17, 2027Phönix LübeckvsEimsbütteler TV
- Apr 17, 2027SchöningenvsAtlas Delmenhorst