Weiche Flensburg vs SV Drochtersen/Assel: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 14Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Manfred-Werner-Stadion, Flensburg
The Footlab model makes SV Drochtersen/Assel the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Weiche Flensburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Weiche Flensburg vs SV Drochtersen/Assel?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Weiche Flensburg (1,949) and SV Drochtersen/Assel (2,030).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Weiche Flensburg have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; SV Drochtersen/Assel have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(home) | 5-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 5-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hamburger SV II(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hannover 96 II(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Paderborn II(away) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Weiche Flensburg win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 SV Drochtersen/Assel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel 3-1 Weiche Flensburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Weiche Flensburg 3-2 SV Drochtersen/Assel | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Nov 15, 2024 | SV Drochtersen/Assel 3-0 Weiche Flensburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 2, 2024 | Weiche Flensburg 1-0 SV Drochtersen/Assel | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Weiche Flensburg 2-2 SV Drochtersen/Assel | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 5, 2023 | SV Drochtersen/Assel 0-0 Weiche Flensburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: SV Drochtersen/Assel vs Weiche Flensburg on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Weiche Flensburg score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; SV Drochtersen/Assel score 2.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weiche Flensburg | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| SV Drochtersen/Assel | 2.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Weiche Flensburg sit 1st in Regionalliga - Nord (13 points from 5 matches) and SV Drochtersen/Assel sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weiche Flensburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 13 |
| 8 | SV Drochtersen/Assel | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Weiche Flensburg vs SV Drochtersen/Assel?
- The Footlab model makes SV Drochtersen/Assel the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Weiche Flensburg.
- Where and when is Weiche Flensburg vs SV Drochtersen/Assel played?
- Weiche Flensburg vs SV Drochtersen/Assel is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Manfred-Werner-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026VfB LübeckvsSt. Pauli II
- Oct 17, 2026Eintracht NorderstedtvsEimsbütteler TV
- Oct 17, 2026SSV JeddelohvsWerder Bremen II
- Oct 17, 2026Atlas DelmenhorstvsBremer SV
- Oct 17, 2026HSC HannovervsTodesfelde
- Oct 17, 2026Hamburger SV IIvsVfB Oldenburg
- Oct 17, 2026Hannover 96 IIvsSchöningen
- Oct 17, 2026Kickers EmdenvsPhönix Lübeck