Where and when is St. Pauli II vs Hamburger SV II played?

St. Pauli II vs Hamburger SV II is played on April 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

St. Pauli II vs Hamburger SV II: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordNorth - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion, Norderstedt

St. Pauli II

Hamburger SV II

The Footlab model makes Hamburger SV II the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for St. Pauli II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win St. Pauli II vs Hamburger SV II?

A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate St. Pauli II (1,761) and Hamburger SV II (1,844).

St. Pauli II win34 %

Draw24 %

Hamburger SV II win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St. Pauli II have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Hamburger SV II have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

St. Pauli II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Werder Bremen II(home)	2-1	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026	SSV Jeddeloh(away)	0-2	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 9, 2026	Bremer SV(home)	0-1	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 2, 2026	Todesfelde(away)	4-6	Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 26, 2026	Eintracht Norderstedt(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

Hamburger SV II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Eimsbütteler TV(home)	0-2	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 16, 2026	SV Drochtersen/Assel(home)	1-4	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026	Todesfelde(home)	2-2	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 7, 2026	Kickers Emden(away)	2-3	Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 22, 2026	Lüneburger SK Hansa(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 St. Pauli II win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Hamburger SV II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	St. Pauli II 1-1 Hamburger SV II	Regionalliga - Nord
Dec 13, 2025	Hamburger SV II 4-1 St. Pauli II	Regionalliga - Nord
Apr 12, 2025	Hamburger SV II 4-2 St. Pauli II	Regionalliga - Nord
Oct 6, 2024	St. Pauli II 1-4 Hamburger SV II	Regionalliga - Nord
Mar 31, 2024	Hamburger SV II 2-0 St. Pauli II	Regionalliga - Nord
Sep 30, 2023	St. Pauli II 0-1 Hamburger SV II	Regionalliga - Nord

Last archived meeting: St. Pauli II vs Hamburger SV II on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

St. Pauli II score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hamburger SV II score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
St. Pauli II	1.2	1.9	1	10/15	6/15
Hamburger SV II	1.5	1.8	1	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

St. Pauli II sit 14th in Regionalliga - Nord (3 points from 4 matches) and Hamburger SV II sit 18th (1 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	St. Pauli II	4	1	0	3	6	10	3
18	Hamburger SV II	4	0	1	3	5	11	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for St. Pauli II vs Hamburger SV II?: The Footlab model makes Hamburger SV II the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for St. Pauli II.
Where and when is St. Pauli II vs Hamburger SV II played?: St. Pauli II vs Hamburger SV II is played on April 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.