SV Kapfenberg vs WSPG Wels: prediction and stats
2. LigaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Kapfenberg, Kapfenberg
The Footlab model makes WSPG Wels the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for SV Kapfenberg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SV Kapfenberg vs WSPG Wels?
WSPG Wels starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,764 vs 1,656).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Kapfenberg have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; WSPG Wels have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Austria Salzburg(away) | 2-3 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(home) | 0-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz(away) | 2-3 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Liefering(home) | 0-4 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Treibach(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | SKU Amstetten(away) | 1-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Rapid Wien II(home) | 1-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC Liefering(away) | 3-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Austria Salzburg(home) | 0-2 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hohenems(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 SV Kapfenberg win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 WSPG Wels win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | WSPG Wels 3-1 SV Kapfenberg | 2. Liga |
| Sep 12, 2025 | SV Kapfenberg 3-2 WSPG Wels | 2. Liga |
Last archived meeting: WSPG Wels vs SV Kapfenberg on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SV Kapfenberg score 1.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; WSPG Wels score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Kapfenberg | 1.5 | 2.2 | 0 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| WSPG Wels | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SV Kapfenberg sit 16th in 2. Liga (0 points from 4 matches) and WSPG Wels sit 12th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | WSPG Wels | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | SV Kapfenberg | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SV Kapfenberg vs WSPG Wels?
- The Footlab model makes WSPG Wels the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for SV Kapfenberg.
- Where and when is SV Kapfenberg vs WSPG Wels played?
- SV Kapfenberg vs WSPG Wels is played on November 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Kapfenberg, in the 2. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.