Hessen Kassel vs SGV Freiberg: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Auestadion, Kassel
The Footlab AI model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Hessen Kassel. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,995 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hessen Kassel vs SGV Freiberg?
SGV Freiberg starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (2,078 vs 1,935).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hessen Kassel vs SGV Freiberg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hessen Kassel
Not enough data to predict the Hessen Kassel lineup.
SGV Freiberg
Not enough data to predict the SGV Freiberg lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 02:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hessen Kassel have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; SGV Freiberg have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | VfR Mannheim(home) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kaiserslautern II(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | SSV Ulm 1846(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05 II(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC 08 Homburg(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Freiburg II(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | TSV Steinbach(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Stuttgarter Kickers(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | VfR Aalen(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hessen Kassel win, 2 draws, 3 SGV Freiberg wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Hessen Kassel 1-1 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 27, 2025 | SGV Freiberg 3-2 Hessen Kassel | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Hessen Kassel 1-0 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 12, 2024 | SGV Freiberg 1-0 Hessen Kassel | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Apr 20, 2024 | SGV Freiberg 1-1 Hessen Kassel | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Hessen Kassel 1-2 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: Hessen Kassel vs SGV Freiberg on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hessen Kassel score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; SGV Freiberg score 2.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hessen Kassel | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| SGV Freiberg | 2.4 | 1.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hessen Kassel sit 11th in Regionalliga - SudWest (14 points from 12 matches) and SGV Freiberg sit 1st (26 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SGV Freiberg | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 31 | 12 | 26 |
| 11 | Hessen Kassel | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 24 | 14 |
A question about Hessen Kassel vs SGV Freiberg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hessen Kassel vs SGV Freiberg?
- The Footlab AI model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Hessen Kassel.
- Where and when is Hessen Kassel vs SGV Freiberg played?
- Hessen Kassel vs SGV Freiberg is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Auestadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026SV SandhausenvsStuttgarter Kickers
- Nov 21, 2026VfR AalenvsFC 08 Homburg
- Nov 21, 2026FSV Mainz 05 IIvsTSV Steinbach
- Nov 21, 2026FSV FrankfurtvsFreiburg II
- Nov 21, 2026FC Astoria WalldorfvsBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
- Nov 21, 2026Eintracht TriervsEintracht Frankfurt II
- Nov 21, 2026Kickers OffenbachvsVfR Mannheim
- Nov 21, 2026SSV Ulm 1846vsKaiserslautern II