SV Wehen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 35Kick-off on April 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)BRITA-Arena, Wiesbaden
The Footlab model makes SV Wehen the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Fortuna Düsseldorf. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SV Wehen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate SV Wehen (1,860) and Fortuna Düsseldorf (1,911).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Wehen have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Fortuna Düsseldorf have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(home) | 0-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Würzburger Kickers(away) | 0-4 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Preußen Münster(home) | 1-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt II(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bayern München(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SC Freiburg(home) | 1-5 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 0-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(away) | 1-2 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 SV Wehen win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Fortuna Düsseldorf win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | SV Wehen 0-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 3, 2023 | Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-3 SV Wehen | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: SV Wehen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf on Apr 13, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
SV Wehen score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Düsseldorf score 2.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Wehen | 1.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SV Wehen sit 20th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Düsseldorf sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 | SV Wehen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SV Wehen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
- The Footlab model makes SV Wehen the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Fortuna Düsseldorf.
- Where and when is SV Wehen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf played?
- SV Wehen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf is played on April 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at BRITA-Arena, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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