Where and when is Waldhof Mannheim vs MSV Duisburg played?

Waldhof Mannheim vs MSV Duisburg is played on April 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Carl-Benz-Stadion, in the 3. Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Waldhof Mannheim vs MSV Duisburg: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 35Kick-off on April 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Carl-Benz-Stadion, Mannheim

Waldhof Mannheim

MSV Duisburg

The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Waldhof Mannheim. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Waldhof Mannheim vs MSV Duisburg?

MSV Duisburg starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (2,032 vs 1,855).

Waldhof Mannheim win30 %

Draw24 %

MSV Duisburg win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Waldhof Mannheim have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; MSV Duisburg have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Waldhof Mannheim
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	1. FC Kaiserslautern(home)	0-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Hansa Rostock(away)	3-3	3. Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Fortuna Düsseldorf(home)	2-1	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Eintracht Frankfurt(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	1. FC Nürnberg(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs

MSV Duisburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SV Elversberg(home)	1-3	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Verl(away)	4-2	3. Liga
Aug 8, 2026	SV Meppen(home)	3-0	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Sparta Rotterdam(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Arminia Bielefeld(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Waldhof Mannheim win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 MSV Duisburg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 11, 2026	Waldhof Mannheim 1-4 MSV Duisburg	3. Liga
Nov 7, 2025	MSV Duisburg 2-1 Waldhof Mannheim	3. Liga
Apr 12, 2024	MSV Duisburg 1-1 Waldhof Mannheim	3. Liga
Nov 5, 2023	Waldhof Mannheim 0-0 MSV Duisburg	3. Liga
May 27, 2023	Waldhof Mannheim 3-1 MSV Duisburg	3. Liga
Jan 23, 2023	MSV Duisburg 1-3 Waldhof Mannheim	3. Liga

Last archived meeting: Waldhof Mannheim vs MSV Duisburg on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Waldhof Mannheim score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; MSV Duisburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Waldhof Mannheim	1.3	2.0	1	10/15	8/15
MSV Duisburg	1.8	1.3	4	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Waldhof Mannheim sit 7th in 3. Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and MSV Duisburg sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MSV Duisburg	2	2	0	0	7	2	6
7	Waldhof Mannheim	2	1	1	0	5	4	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Waldhof Mannheim vs MSV Duisburg?: The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Waldhof Mannheim.
Where and when is Waldhof Mannheim vs MSV Duisburg played?: Waldhof Mannheim vs MSV Duisburg is played on April 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Carl-Benz-Stadion, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.