Match

Waldhof Mannheim vs MSV Duisburg: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 35Kick-off on April 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Carl-Benz-Stadion, Mannheim

Waldhof MannheimMSV Duisburg

The Footlab AI model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Waldhof Mannheim. The most likely score is 1-1. If MSV Duisburg wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 3,132 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Waldhof Mannheim vs MSV Duisburg?

MSV Duisburg starts as the favourite with a 218-point Elo edge (2,092 vs 1,874).

26%23%51%
Waldhof Mannheim winDrawMSV Duisburg win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Waldhof Mannheim vs MSV Duisburg

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Waldhof Mannheim

4-3-3
  1. 7L. Bierschenk
  2. 12V. Thill
  3. 9Gonçalo Gregório
  1. 21J. Rieckmann
  2. 28D. Michel
  3. 8M. Thalhammer
  1. 17Owono Darnell Keumo
  2. 14Oluwaseun God Power Osaro Ogbemudia
  3. 15C. Kammerknecht
  4. 3Moritz Polte
  1. 1T. Nijhuis

MSV Duisburg

5-4-1
  1. 9L. Lobinger
  1. 6R. Bulić
  2. 11D. Kother
  3. 14C. Noß
  4. 8A. Casar
  1. 5T. Fleckstein
  2. 40B. Schlicke
  3. 29J. Bitter
  4. 3F. Christensen
  5. 20N. Jessen
  1. 1M. Braune

Computed on October 24, 2026 at 01:06 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Waldhof Mannheim have 4 wins, 1 draw and 10 defeats; MSV Duisburg have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Waldhof Mannheim
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Würzburger Kickers(away)0-23. Liga
Oct 14, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04(home)0-33. Liga
Oct 10, 2026SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)5-13. Liga
Oct 3, 2026FSV Mainz 05(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026Preußen Münster(home)2-03. Liga
MSV Duisburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026FC Viktoria Köln(home)1-13. Liga
Oct 13, 2026FC Saarbrücken(away)4-23. Liga
Oct 10, 2026Hoffenheim II(home)3-23. Liga
Sep 20, 2026SV Wehen(away)4-13. Liga
Sep 15, 2026Havelse(home)2-13. Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Waldhof Mannheim wins, 2 draws, 2 MSV Duisburg wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 11, 2026Waldhof Mannheim 1-4 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
Nov 7, 2025MSV Duisburg 2-1 Waldhof Mannheim3. Liga
Apr 12, 2024MSV Duisburg 1-1 Waldhof Mannheim3. Liga
Nov 5, 2023Waldhof Mannheim 0-0 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
May 27, 2023Waldhof Mannheim 3-1 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
Jan 23, 2023MSV Duisburg 1-3 Waldhof Mannheim3. Liga

Last archived meeting: Waldhof Mannheim vs MSV Duisburg on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Waldhof Mannheim score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; MSV Duisburg score 2.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Waldhof Mannheim1.21.726/158/15
MSV Duisburg2.31.4312/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Waldhof Mannheim sit 11th in 3. Liga (13 points from 10 matches) and MSV Duisburg sit 1st (25 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1MSV Duisburg10811271225
11Waldhof Mannheim10415161613

A question about Waldhof Mannheim vs MSV Duisburg?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Waldhof Mannheim vs MSV Duisburg?
The Footlab AI model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Waldhof Mannheim.
Where and when is Waldhof Mannheim vs MSV Duisburg played?
Waldhof Mannheim vs MSV Duisburg is played on April 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Carl-Benz-Stadion, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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