FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Verl: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 35Kick-off on April 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Audi-Sportpark, Ingolstadt
The Footlab AI model makes FC Ingolstadt 04 the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Verl. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Ingolstadt 04 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,578 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Verl?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate FC Ingolstadt 04 (1,948) and Verl (1,962).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Verl
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Ingolstadt 04
4-1-4-1- 13L. Lokotsch
- 28N. Velupillay
- 34L. Fröde
- 8F. Carlsen
- 18K. Bennetts
- 41V. Šapina
- 15J. Scholz
- 6G. Antzoulas
- 19L. Rosenlöcher
- 14Max Plath
- 47D. Klein
Verl
4-2-3-1- 25T. Heike
- 20A. Leipold
- 8D. Waidner
- 30A. Mešanović
- 6J. Eze
- 21M. Clausen
- 19N. Kijewski
- 5Nick Seidel
- 22N. König
- 34Janne Berner
- 1T. Schlieck
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 03:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Ingolstadt 04 have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Verl have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(home) | 2-1 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(home) | 1-0 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(away) | 3-0 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | SV Wehen(home) | 2-4 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln(away) | 1-3 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(away) | 1-2 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 14, 2026 | SSV Jahn Regensburg(home) | 2-2 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(away) | 2-2 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hannover 96(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Ingolstadt 04 win, 3 draws, 2 Verl wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04 1-2 Verl | 3. Liga |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Verl 2-2 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Verl 1-4 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga |
| Oct 19, 2024 | FC Ingolstadt 04 1-1 Verl | 3. Liga |
| Mar 17, 2024 | FC Ingolstadt 04 0-1 Verl | 3. Liga |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Verl 2-2 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Verl on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Ingolstadt 04 score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Verl score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Verl | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 6th in 3. Liga (17 points from 11 matches) and Verl sit 15th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
| 15 | Verl | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 12 |
A question about FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Verl?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Verl?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Ingolstadt 04 the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Verl.
- Where and when is FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Verl played?
- FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Verl is played on April 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Audi-Sportpark, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 27, 2027Preußen MünstervsSSV Jahn Regensburg
- Apr 27, 2027SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachvsStuttgart II
- Apr 27, 2027SV WehenvsFortuna Düsseldorf
- Apr 27, 2027Hansa RostockvsFortuna Köln
- Apr 27, 2027FC Viktoria KölnvsWürzburger Kickers
- Apr 27, 2027Rot-Weiß EssenvsSV Meppen
- Apr 27, 2027FC SaarbrückenvsHoffenheim II
- Apr 27, 2027Waldhof MannheimvsMSV Duisburg