Match

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Verl: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 35Kick-off on April 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Audi-Sportpark, Ingolstadt

FC Ingolstadt 04Verl

The Footlab model makes FC Ingolstadt 04 the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Verl. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Verl?

A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate FC Ingolstadt 04 (1,925) and Verl (1,953).

FC Ingolstadt 04 win44 %
Draw24 %
Verl win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Ingolstadt 04 have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Verl have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Ingolstadt 04
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Preußen Münster(away)1-13. Liga
Aug 8, 2026Würzburger Kickers(home)2-23. Liga
Aug 1, 20261. FC Heidenheim(away)1-4Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026RB Leipzig(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Palermo(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Verl
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Hamburger SV(home)0-3DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026MSV Duisburg(home)2-43. Liga
Aug 9, 2026Alemannia Aachen(away)1-43. Liga
Aug 1, 2026RB Leipzig(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Jul 26, 2026Bremer SV(home)6-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Ingolstadt 04 win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Verl win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 8, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04 1-2 Verl3. Liga
Oct 1, 2025Verl 2-2 FC Ingolstadt 043. Liga
Mar 15, 2025Verl 1-4 FC Ingolstadt 043. Liga
Oct 19, 2024FC Ingolstadt 04 1-1 Verl3. Liga
Mar 17, 2024FC Ingolstadt 04 0-1 Verl3. Liga
Oct 14, 2023Verl 2-2 FC Ingolstadt 043. Liga

Last archived meeting: FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Verl on Mar 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Ingolstadt 04 score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Verl score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Ingolstadt 041.61.548/158/15
Verl1.51.746/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 15th in 3. Liga (2 points from 2 matches) and Verl sit 19th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15FC Ingolstadt 042020332
19Verl2002380

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Verl?
The Footlab model makes FC Ingolstadt 04 the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Verl.
Where and when is FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Verl played?
FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Verl is played on April 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Audi-Sportpark, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FC Ingolstadt 04 and Verl

Ready to know everything about football?