Svitavy vs Trutnov: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie CGroup C - 8Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Svitavský Stadion, Svitavy
The Footlab model makes Trutnov the favourite at 46%, against 20% for a draw and 34% for Svitavy. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Svitavy vs Trutnov?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Svitavy (1,537) and Trutnov (1,598).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Svitavy have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Trutnov have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hlinsko(home) | 0-6 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slavia Hradec Králové(away) | 2-3 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Letohrad(home) | 2-1 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ústí nad Orlicí(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Horní Ředice(home) | 2-4 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chrudim II(home) | 5-0 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Turnov(away) | 0-4 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Benátky nad Jizerou(home) | 2-5 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spartak Police n/Metují(home) | 1-2 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slavia Hradec Králové(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Svitavy win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Trutnov win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Svitavy 0-0 Trutnov | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Trutnov 6-0 Svitavy | 4. liga - Divizie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Svitavy score 1.7 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Trutnov score 1.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svitavy | 1.7 | 2.3 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Trutnov | 1.9 | 2.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Svitavy sit 13th in 4. liga - Divizie C (3 points from 3 matches) and Trutnov sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trutnov | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 13 | Svitavy | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Svitavy vs Trutnov?
- The Footlab model makes Trutnov the favourite at 46%, against 20% for a draw and 34% for Svitavy.
- Where and when is Svitavy vs Trutnov played?
- Svitavy vs Trutnov is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Svitavský Stadion, in the 4. liga - Divizie C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.