Vykan vs Ústí nad Orlicí: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie CGroup C - 8Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Vykan the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Ústí nad Orlicí. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vykan vs Ústí nad Orlicí?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Vykan (1,667) and Ústí nad Orlicí (1,661).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Vykan have 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Ústí nad Orlicí have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Letohrad(away) | 4-1 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dukla Praha(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chrudim II(home) | 7-2 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Čáslav(home) | 4-3 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Letohrad(home) | 4-1 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chrudim II(away) | 6-0 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Přepeře(away) | 3-4 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Turnov(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Svitavy(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Vykan score 3.8 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 4; Ústí nad Orlicí score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vykan | 3.8 | 2.3 | 0 | 3/4 | 4/4 |
| Ústí nad Orlicí | 2.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vykan sit 5th in 4. liga - Divizie C (6 points from 2 matches) and Ústí nad Orlicí sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ústí nad Orlicí | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Vykan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vykan vs Ústí nad Orlicí?
- The Footlab model makes Vykan the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Ústí nad Orlicí.
- Where and when is Vykan vs Ústí nad Orlicí played?
- Vykan vs Ústí nad Orlicí is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC), in the 4. liga - Divizie C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.