SW Essen vs KFC Uerdingen 05: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 5Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Uhlenkrugstadion, Essen
The Footlab model makes KFC Uerdingen 05 the favourite at 62%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for SW Essen. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SW Essen vs KFC Uerdingen 05?
KFC Uerdingen 05 starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,879 vs 1,736).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SW Essen have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; KFC Uerdingen 05 have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SSVg Velbert(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Scherpenberg(away) | 3-5 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Meerbusch(home) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Kleve(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Holzheimer SG(away) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bonner SC(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 29, 2026 | Meerbusch(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Kleve(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SW Essen win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 KFC Uerdingen 05 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | SW Essen 0-2 KFC Uerdingen 05 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 20, 2025 | KFC Uerdingen 05 0-1 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 8, 2024 | SW Essen 6-4 KFC Uerdingen 05 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Nov 4, 2023 | KFC Uerdingen 05 4-1 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Apr 15, 2023 | KFC Uerdingen 05 4-4 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 12, 2022 | SW Essen 0-2 KFC Uerdingen 05 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
Last archived meeting: SW Essen vs KFC Uerdingen 05 on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SW Essen score 1.5 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; KFC Uerdingen 05 score 2.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SW Essen | 1.5 | 2.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| KFC Uerdingen 05 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SW Essen sit 18th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (0 points from 2 matches) and KFC Uerdingen 05 sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | KFC Uerdingen 05 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 18 | SW Essen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SW Essen vs KFC Uerdingen 05?
- The Footlab model makes KFC Uerdingen 05 the favourite at 62%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for SW Essen.
- Where and when is SW Essen vs KFC Uerdingen 05 played?
- SW Essen vs KFC Uerdingen 05 is played on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Uhlenkrugstadion, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 11, 2026SSVg VelbertvsBüderich
- Sep 11, 2026Fortuna Düsseldorf IIvsMonheim
- Sep 11, 2026Holzheimer SGvsGermania Ratingen
- Sep 13, 2026ScherpenbergvsSolingen-Wald
- Sep 13, 2026BW DingdenvsSchonnebeck
- Sep 13, 2026SF BaumbergvsViktoria Jüchen-Garz.
- Sep 13, 2026SonsbeckvsMeerbusch
- Sep 13, 2026SC St. TönisvsWuppertaler SV