SW Essen vs Monheim: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 25Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Uhlenkrugstadion, Essen
The Footlab model makes Monheim the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for SW Essen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SW Essen vs Monheim?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate SW Essen (1,736) and Monheim (1,738).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SW Essen have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Monheim have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SSVg Velbert(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Scherpenberg(away) | 3-5 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Meerbusch(home) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Kleve(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | BW Dingden(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Büderich(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Siegburger SV(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(home) | 0-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Germania Ratingen(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 SW Essen win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Monheim win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | SW Essen 0-1 Monheim | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Monheim 0-0 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 18, 2025 | SW Essen 3-1 Monheim | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 2, 2024 | Monheim 1-2 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jun 4, 2023 | SW Essen 3-2 Monheim | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Monheim 0-2 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
How many goals should we expect?
SW Essen score 1.5 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Monheim score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SW Essen | 1.5 | 2.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Monheim | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SW Essen sit 16th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (0 points from 2 matches) and Monheim sit 5th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Monheim | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 16 | SW Essen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SW Essen vs Monheim?
- The Footlab model makes Monheim the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for SW Essen.
- Where and when is SW Essen vs Monheim played?
- SW Essen vs Monheim is played on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Uhlenkrugstadion, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 2, 2027Fortuna Düsseldorf IIvsSchonnebeck
- Apr 2, 2027SSVg VelbertvsKFC Uerdingen 05
- Apr 2, 2027Holzheimer SGvsBüderich
- Apr 4, 2027SF BaumbergvsWuppertaler SV
- Apr 4, 2027MeerbuschvsSolingen-Wald
- Apr 4, 2027SonsbeckvsViktoria Jüchen-Garz.
- Apr 4, 2027ScherpenbergvsGermania Ratingen
- Apr 4, 2027SC St. TönisvsBW Dingden