Monheim vs SW Essen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 8Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Rheinstadion, Monheim
The Footlab model makes Monheim the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for SW Essen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Monheim vs SW Essen?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Monheim (1,738) and SW Essen (1,736).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monheim have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; SW Essen have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | BW Dingden(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Büderich(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Siegburger SV(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(home) | 0-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Germania Ratingen(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SSVg Velbert(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Scherpenberg(away) | 3-5 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Meerbusch(home) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Kleve(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Monheim win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 SW Essen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | SW Essen 0-1 Monheim | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Monheim 0-0 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 18, 2025 | SW Essen 3-1 Monheim | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 2, 2024 | Monheim 1-2 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jun 4, 2023 | SW Essen 3-2 Monheim | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Monheim 0-2 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
How many goals should we expect?
Monheim score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; SW Essen score 1.5 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monheim | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| SW Essen | 1.5 | 2.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Monheim sit 10th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (1 points from 1 matches) and SW Essen sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Monheim | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 18 | SW Essen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Monheim vs SW Essen?
- The Footlab model makes Monheim the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for SW Essen.
- Where and when is Monheim vs SW Essen played?
- Monheim vs SW Essen is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Rheinstadion, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 2, 2026KFC Uerdingen 05vsSSVg Velbert
- Oct 2, 2026Wuppertaler SVvsSF Baumberg
- Oct 2, 2026Germania RatingenvsScherpenberg
- Oct 2, 2026BW DingdenvsSC St. Tönis
- Oct 4, 2026SchonnebeckvsFortuna Düsseldorf II
- Oct 4, 2026Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.vsSonsbeck
- Oct 4, 2026Solingen-WaldvsMeerbusch
- Oct 4, 2026BüderichvsHolzheimer SG