Swansea vs Derby: result 1-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 1, 2019 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Full time
What was the result of Swansea vs Derby?
Swansea and Derby drew 1-1 on May 1, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 21′R. KeoghDerby
- 66′W. RoutledgeSwansea
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swansea have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Derby have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2019 | Hull City(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Apr 22, 2019 | Ipswich(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Apr 19, 2019 | Rotherham(home) | 4-3 | Championship |
| Apr 13, 2019 | QPR(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Apr 9, 2019 | Stoke City(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2019 | Bristol City(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Apr 22, 2019 | QPR(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Apr 19, 2019 | Birmingham(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Apr 13, 2019 | Bolton(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Apr 9, 2019 | Blackburn(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Swansea win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2018 | Derby 2-1 Swansea | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Swansea score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.6 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 1.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Derby | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swansea sit 9th in Championship (4 points from 2 matches) and Derby sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Swansea | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy