Swansea vs Derby: result 1-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 1, 2019 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Full time
What was the result of Swansea vs Derby?
Swansea and Derby drew 1-1 on May 1, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 21′R. KeoghDerby
- 66′W. RoutledgeSwansea
Official lineup for Swansea vs Derby
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Swansea
4-2-3-1- 9O. McBurnie
- 19B. McKay
- 23C. Roberts
- 20D. James
- 21M. Grimes
- 28G. Byers
- 15W. Routledge
- 17C. Carter-Vickers
- 5M. van der Hoorn
- 26K. Naughton
- 1K. Nordfeldt
Derby
4-2-3-1- 9M. Waghorn
- 8M. Mount
- 7H. Wilson
- 10T. Lawrence
- 15B. Johnson
- 44T. Huddlestone
- 37J. Bogle
- 5F. Tomori
- 46S. Malone
- 6R. Keogh
- 21K. Roos
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swansea have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Derby have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2019 | Hull City(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Apr 22, 2019 | Ipswich(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Apr 19, 2019 | Rotherham(home) | 4-3 | Championship |
| Apr 13, 2019 | QPR(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Apr 9, 2019 | Stoke City(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2019 | Bristol City(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Apr 22, 2019 | QPR(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Apr 19, 2019 | Birmingham(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Apr 13, 2019 | Bolton(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Apr 9, 2019 | Blackburn(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Swansea wins, 0 draws, 1 Derby win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2018 | Derby 2-1 Swansea | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Swansea score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.6 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 1.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Derby | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swansea sit 1st in Championship (23 points from 10 matches) and Derby sit 23rd (6 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 23 |
| 23 | Derby | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 6 |
A question about Swansea vs Derby?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy