Swansea vs Middlesbrough: result 1-0 and analysis
League CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on December 12, 2012 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Full time
What was the result of Swansea vs Middlesbrough?
Swansea won 1-0 on December 12, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 81′Seb HinesSwansea (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swansea have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Middlesbrough have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2012 | Norwich(home) | 3-4 | Premier League |
| Dec 1, 2012 | Arsenal(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Nov 28, 2012 | West Brom(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 25, 2012 | Liverpool(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Nov 17, 2012 | Newcastle(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2012 | Peterborough(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Nov 30, 2012 | Birmingham(away) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Nov 27, 2012 | Huddersfield(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Nov 24, 2012 | Bristol City(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Nov 17, 2012 | Cardiff(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Swansea score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Middlesbrough score 1.8 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Middlesbrough | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy