Sweden vs Poland: result 3-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague B - 2Kick-off on September 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Friends Arena, Solna
Full time
What was the result of Sweden vs Poland?
Sweden won 3-1 on September 28, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 8′B. NygrenSweden
- 43′S. SzymańskiPoland
- 63′Y. AyariSweden
- 72′V. GyökeresSweden
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Sweden win at 50%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 3-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Sweden vs Poland
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Sweden
4-4-2- 17V. Gyökeres
- 10B. Nygren
- 22B. Zeneli
- 18Y. Ayari
- 7L. Bergvall
- 11P. Wålemark
- 5G. Gudmundsson
- 3V. Lindelöf
- 15C. Starfelt
- 8D. Svensson
- 12V. Johansson
Poland
3-4-3- 21N. Zalewski
- 13M. Żukowski
- 20S. Szymański
- 15T. Puchacz
- 10P. Zieliński
- 16W. Nowak
- 2M. Cash
- 14J. Kiwior
- 5J. Bednarek
- 3P. Wiśniewski
- 1M. Bułka
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sweden have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Poland have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Romania(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 30, 2026 | France(away) | 0-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Japan(away) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Netherlands(away) | 1-5 | World Cup |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Tunisia(home) | 5-1 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Nigeria(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| May 31, 2026 | Ukraine(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Sweden(away) | 2-3 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Albania(home) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Sweden wins, 0 draws, 1 Poland win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Sweden 3-2 Poland | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 29, 2022 | Poland 2-0 Sweden | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 23, 2021 | Sweden 3-2 Poland | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Sweden score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Poland score 1.5 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweden | 1.5 | 2.1 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Poland | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sweden sit 1st in UEFA Nations League (10 points from 4 matches) and Poland sit 3rd (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 4 |
A question about Sweden vs Poland?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy