Scotland vs Switzerland: prediction and stats
UEFA Nations League2Kick-off on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Hampden Park, Glasgow
The Footlab model makes Switzerland the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Scotland. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Scotland vs Switzerland?
Switzerland starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,731 vs 1,622).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Scotland have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Switzerland have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2026 | Brazil(home) | 0-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Morocco(home) | 0-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Haiti(away) | 1-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Bolivia(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies |
| May 30, 2026 | Curaçao(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2026 | Canada(home) | 2-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(home) | 4-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Qatar(away) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Australia(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| May 31, 2026 | Jordan(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Scotland win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Switzerland win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 19, 2024 | Scotland 1-1 Switzerland | Euro Championship |
Last archived meeting: Scotland vs Switzerland on Jun 19, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Scotland score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Switzerland score 2.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scotland | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Switzerland | 2.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Scotland vs Switzerland?
- The Footlab model makes Switzerland the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Scotland.
- Where and when is Scotland vs Switzerland played?
- Scotland vs Switzerland is played on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Hampden Park, in the UEFA Nations League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.