Swindon Town vs Burnley: result 3-1 and analysis
League Cup3rd RoundKick-off on September 25, 2012 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The County Ground, Swindon, Wiltshire
Full time
What was the result of Swindon Town vs Burnley?
Swindon Town won 3-1 on September 25, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 19′Paul BensonSwindon Town
- 42′A. WilliamsSwindon Town
- 74′C. AustinBurnley
- 83′Troy Archibald-HenvilleSwindon Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swindon Town have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Burnley have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2012 | Bournemouth(home) | 4-0 | League One |
| Sep 18, 2012 | Portsmouth(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Sep 15, 2012 | Carlisle(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Sep 8, 2012 | Leyton Orient(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 5, 2012 | Oxford United(away) | 0-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2012 | Derby(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2012 | Leicester(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2012 | Peterborough(home) | 5-2 | Championship |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Brighton(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 28, 2012 | Plymouth(home) | 2-2 | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Swindon Town score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Burnley score 1.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swindon Town | 1.8 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Burnley | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy