Manchester City vs Aston Villa: result 2-4 and analysis
League Cup3rd RoundKick-off on September 25, 2012 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Full time
What was the result of Manchester City vs Aston Villa?
Aston Villa won 2-4 on September 25, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 27′M. BalotelliManchester City
- 59′G. BarryAston Villa (o.g.)
- 64′A. KolarovManchester City
- 70′Gabriel Imuetinyan AgbonlahorAston Villa
- 96′Charles N'ZogbiaAston Villa
- 113′Gabriel Imuetinyan AgbonlahorAston Villa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manchester City have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Aston Villa have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2012 | Arsenal(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2012 | Real Madrid(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 15, 2012 | Stoke City(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 1, 2012 | QPR(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 26, 2012 | Liverpool(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2012 | Southampton(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2012 | Swansea(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 2, 2012 | Newcastle(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 28, 2012 | Tranmere(home) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 25, 2012 | Everton(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Manchester City win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Aston Villa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2012 | Aston Villa 0-1 Manchester City | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2011 | Manchester City 4-1 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Jan 22, 2011 | Aston Villa 1-0 Manchester City | Premier League |
| Dec 28, 2010 | Manchester City 4-0 Aston Villa | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Aston Villa vs Manchester City on Feb 12, 2012
How many goals should we expect?
Manchester City score 2.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aston Villa score 0.9 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 2.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Aston Villa | 0.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy