Świt Skolwin vs Lechia Zielona Góra: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Skolwin, Szczecin
The Footlab model makes Lechia Zielona Góra the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Świt Skolwin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Świt Skolwin vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
Lechia Zielona Góra starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (1,899 vs 1,734).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Świt Skolwin have 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Lechia Zielona Góra have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Znicz Pruszków(away) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(home) | 0-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Legia Warszawa II(away) | 0-5 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(away) | 3-5 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(away) | 0-3 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz(away) | 1-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(home) | 6-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(home) | 2-2 | II Liga - East |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Świt Skolwin win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Lechia Zielona Góra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2020 | Lechia Zielona Góra 1-4 Świt Skolwin | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Lechia Zielona Góra vs Świt Skolwin on Aug 13, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Świt Skolwin score 0.8 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lechia Zielona Góra score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Świt Skolwin | 0.8 | 2.5 | 0 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Lechia Zielona Góra | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Świt Skolwin sit 18th in II Liga - East (1 points from 5 matches) and Lechia Zielona Góra sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 6 |
| 18 | Świt Skolwin | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Świt Skolwin vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
- The Footlab model makes Lechia Zielona Góra the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Świt Skolwin.
- Where and when is Świt Skolwin vs Lechia Zielona Góra played?
- Świt Skolwin vs Lechia Zielona Góra is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Skolwin, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Sandecja Nowy SączvsPodhale Nowy Targ
- Mar 20, 2027Olimpia GrudziądzvsŚląsk Wrocław II
- Mar 20, 2027Górnik ŁęcznavsSokół Kleczew
- Mar 20, 2027Rekord Bielsko-BiałavsLegia Warszawa II
- Mar 20, 2027Resovia RzeszówvsChojniczanka Chojnice
- Mar 20, 2027Zawisza BydgoszczvsStal Stalowa Wola
- Mar 20, 2027Avia ŚwidnikvsTychy 71