Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Stal Stalowa Wola: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Zdzisława Krzyszkowiaka, Bydgoszcz
The Footlab model makes Zawisza Bydgoszcz the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Stal Stalowa Wola. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
Zawisza Bydgoszcz starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,981 vs 1,821).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zawisza Bydgoszcz have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Stal Stalowa Wola have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(away) | 4-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lechia Zielona Góra(home) | 2-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Resovia Rzeszów(home) | 1-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away) | 0-3 | II Liga - East |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(away) | 0-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(home) | 4-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away) | 1-3 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Śląsk Wrocław II(away) | 2-3 | Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Tychy 71(home) | 1-2 | II Liga - East |
How many goals should we expect?
Zawisza Bydgoszcz score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Stalowa Wola score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Stal Stalowa Wola | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zawisza Bydgoszcz sit 4th in II Liga - East (10 points from 5 matches) and Stal Stalowa Wola sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 12 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
- The Footlab model makes Zawisza Bydgoszcz the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Stal Stalowa Wola.
- Where and when is Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Stal Stalowa Wola played?
- Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Stal Stalowa Wola is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Zdzisława Krzyszkowiaka, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Sandecja Nowy SączvsPodhale Nowy Targ
- Mar 20, 2027Olimpia GrudziądzvsŚląsk Wrocław II
- Mar 20, 2027Górnik ŁęcznavsSokół Kleczew
- Mar 20, 2027Rekord Bielsko-BiałavsLegia Warszawa II
- Mar 20, 2027Resovia RzeszówvsChojniczanka Chojnice
- Mar 20, 2027Świt SkolwinvsLechia Zielona Góra
- Mar 20, 2027Avia ŚwidnikvsTychy 71