Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Niğde Belediyesispor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mersin Stadyumu, Mersin
The Footlab model makes Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Niğde Belediyesispor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Niğde Belediyesispor?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu (1,521) and Niğde Belediyesispor (1,531).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Niğde Belediyesispor have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(home) | 0-6 | 2. Lig |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Bursaspor(away) | 0-3 | 2. Lig |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor(home) | 1-8 | 2. Lig |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Kırklarelispor(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Isparta 32 Spor(home) | 3-5 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(away) | 2-3 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(home) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Kırşehir Belediyespor(away) | 4-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 12 Bingölspor(home) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Niğde Belediyesispor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2025 | Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 0-2 Niğde Belediyesispor | Türkiye Kupası |
Last archived meeting: Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Niğde Belediyesispor on Sep 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu score 1.4 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; Niğde Belediyesispor score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu | 1.4 | 3.0 | 3 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
| Niğde Belediyesispor | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Niğde Belediyesispor?
- The Footlab model makes Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Niğde Belediyesispor.
- Where and when is Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Niğde Belediyesispor played?
- Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Niğde Belediyesispor is played on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mersin Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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