Tamale City vs Northern City: prediction and stats
Division One LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Aliu Mahama Sports Stadium, Tamale
The Footlab model makes Tamale City the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Northern City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tamale City vs Northern City?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Tamale City (1,541) and Northern City (1,471).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tamale City have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Northern City have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Debibi United(home) | 1-3 | Division One League |
| May 2, 2026 | Northern City(away) | 1-2 | Division One League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sankara Nationals(home) | 2-2 | Division One League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Yapei(away) | 1-2 | Division One League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Wa Power(home) | 3-1 | Division One League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Tamale City(home) | 2-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Real Tamale(away) | 3-2 | Division One League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sankara Nationals(home) | 3-2 | Division One League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Bolga AllStars(away) | 3-3 | Division One League |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Yapei(home) | 3-2 | Division One League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Tamale City win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Northern City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Northern City 2-1 Tamale City | Division One League |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Tamale City 1-0 Northern City | Division One League |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Northern City 0-1 Tamale City | Division One League |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Tamale City 2-1 Northern City | Division One League |
Last archived meeting: Northern City vs Tamale City on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tamale City score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Northern City score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamale City | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Northern City | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tamale City sit 2nd in Division One League (3 points from 1 matches) and Northern City sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Tamale City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tamale City vs Northern City?
- The Footlab model makes Tamale City the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Northern City.
- Where and when is Tamale City vs Northern City played?
- Tamale City vs Northern City is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Aliu Mahama Sports Stadium, in the Division One League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.