Tapachula vs Deportiva Venados: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 19, 2026 at 01:05 AM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico de Tapachula, Tapachula
The Footlab AI model makes Deportiva Venados the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Tapachula. The most likely score is 1-1. If Deportiva Venados wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tapachula vs Deportiva Venados?
Deportiva Venados starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (2,020 vs 1,847).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tapachula vs Deportiva Venados
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tapachula
Not enough data to predict the Tapachula lineup.
Deportiva Venados
Not enough data to predict the Deportiva Venados lineup.
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 09:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tapachula have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Deportiva Venados have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chapulineros(home) | 2-3 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pioneros de Cancún(away) | 1-5 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(home) | 2-0 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Celaya(away) | 0-2 | Primera Premier |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Racing de Veracruz(home) | 0-4 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(away) | 1-3 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Celaya(home) | 2-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Racing de Veracruz(away) | 3-3 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Jaguares de Chiapas(home) | 2-0 | Primera Premier |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Montañeses(away) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Tapachula wins, 0 draws, 4 Deportiva Venados wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Tapachula 2-3 Deportiva Venados | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Deportiva Venados 3-1 Tapachula | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Tapachula 1-3 Deportiva Venados | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Deportiva Venados 2-1 Tapachula | Liga Premier Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Tapachula vs Deportiva Venados on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tapachula score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Deportiva Venados score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tapachula | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Deportiva Venados | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tapachula sit 16th in Primera Premier (3 points from 5 matches) and Deportiva Venados sit 10th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Deportiva Venados | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 5 |
| 16 | Tapachula | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 3 |
A question about Tapachula vs Deportiva Venados?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tapachula vs Deportiva Venados?
- The Footlab AI model makes Deportiva Venados the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Tapachula.
- Where and when is Tapachula vs Deportiva Venados played?
- Tapachula vs Deportiva Venados is played on October 19, 2026 at 01:05 AM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico de Tapachula, in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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