Tritons Vallarta vs H2O Purepechas: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Canchas Curiel, Las Juntas
The Footlab AI model makes Tritons Vallarta the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for H2O Purepechas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tritons Vallarta wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tritons Vallarta vs H2O Purepechas?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Tritons Vallarta (1,854) and H2O Purepechas (1,788).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tritons Vallarta vs H2O Purepechas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tritons Vallarta
Not enough data to predict the Tritons Vallarta lineup.
H2O Purepechas
Not enough data to predict the H2O Purepechas lineup.
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tritons Vallarta have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; H2O Purepechas have 0, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lobos ULMX(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Tigres de Alica(away) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Los Cabos United(away) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Zacatepec 1948(home) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Reboceros La Piedad(home) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tigres de Alica(away) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Los Cabos United(home) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Zacatepec 1948(away) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Reboceros La Piedad(away) | 0-3 | Primera Premier |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Cordobés(home) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
How many goals should we expect?
Tritons Vallarta score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; H2O Purepechas score 0.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tritons Vallarta | 0.7 | 0.8 | 4 | 6/15 | 1/15 |
| H2O Purepechas | 0.2 | 1.4 | 0 | 1/5 | 1/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tritons Vallarta sit 17th in Primera Premier (2 points from 5 matches) and H2O Purepechas sit 18th (1 point from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Tritons Vallarta | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| 18 | H2O Purepechas | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
A question about Tritons Vallarta vs H2O Purepechas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tritons Vallarta vs H2O Purepechas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tritons Vallarta the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for H2O Purepechas.
- Where and when is Tritons Vallarta vs H2O Purepechas played?
- Tritons Vallarta vs H2O Purepechas is played on October 16, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Canchas Curiel, in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.