Tarancón vs Quintanar del Rey: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Estadio Municipal Tarancón, Tarancón
The Footlab AI model makes Tarancón the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Quintanar del Rey. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,500 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tarancón vs Quintanar del Rey?
Tarancón starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,902 vs 1,780).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tarancón vs Quintanar del Rey
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tarancón
Not enough data to predict the Tarancón lineup.
Quintanar del Rey
Not enough data to predict the Quintanar del Rey lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 11:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tarancón have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Quintanar del Rey have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Noblejas(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Villarrubia(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Socuéllamos(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Marchamalo(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Marchamalo(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Socuéllamos(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Tarancón(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Guadalajara II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | CD Villa(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tarancón win, 0 draws, 5 Quintanar del Rey wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey 1-2 Tarancón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Quintanar del Rey 2-1 Tarancón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Tarancón 0-1 Quintanar del Rey | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Quintanar del Rey 1-0 Tarancón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Tarancón 0-1 Quintanar del Rey | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Quintanar del Rey 3-0 Tarancón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
Last archived meeting: Quintanar del Rey vs Tarancón on Oct 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tarancón score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Quintanar del Rey score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarancón | 1.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Quintanar del Rey | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tarancón sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (15 points from 9 matches) and Quintanar del Rey sit 17th (6 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Tarancón | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 15 |
| 17 | Quintanar del Rey | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 6 |
A question about Tarancón vs Quintanar del Rey?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tarancón vs Quintanar del Rey?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tarancón the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Quintanar del Rey.
- Where and when is Tarancón vs Quintanar del Rey played?
- Tarancón vs Quintanar del Rey is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Estadio Municipal Tarancón, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.