Socuéllamos vs Marchamalo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Paquito Jiménez, Socuéllamos
The Footlab AI model makes Socuéllamos the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Marchamalo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Socuéllamos wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,598 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Socuéllamos vs Marchamalo?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Socuéllamos (1,767) and Marchamalo (1,755).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Socuéllamos vs Marchamalo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Socuéllamos
4-3-3- MM. Legaz
- 14Adrián Díaz
- 10Eduardo Farias
- MMiguel Serrano
- MMiguel Ángel Rodrigáñez Gracia
- LLara
- SSergio Pérez
- CCarlos García
- JJ. Anaba
- ÁÁlvaro Escobar
- BBernabé
Marchamalo
Not enough data to predict the Marchamalo lineup.
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 05:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Socuéllamos have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Marchamalo have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Marchamalo(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tarancón(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Guadalajara II(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | CD Villa(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | San Clemente(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Socuéllamos(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Almansa(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tarancón(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Manchego(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Socuéllamos wins, 1 draw, 1 Marchamalo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Marchamalo 1-0 Socuéllamos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Marchamalo 0-3 Socuéllamos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Socuéllamos 1-0 Marchamalo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Socuéllamos 3-0 Marchamalo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Marchamalo 0-0 Socuéllamos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Socuéllamos 1-0 Marchamalo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Marchamalo vs Socuéllamos on Oct 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Socuéllamos score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Marchamalo score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socuéllamos | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Marchamalo | 1.3 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Socuéllamos sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (7 points from 8 matches) and Marchamalo sit 12th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Marchamalo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
| 14 | Socuéllamos | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
A question about Socuéllamos vs Marchamalo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Socuéllamos vs Marchamalo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Socuéllamos the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Marchamalo.
- Where and when is Socuéllamos vs Marchamalo played?
- Socuéllamos vs Marchamalo is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Paquito Jiménez, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.