Tarbes vs Dinan Léhon: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 6Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Maurice Trélut 2 - Terrain B, Tarbes
The Footlab model makes Tarbes the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Dinan Léhon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tarbes vs Dinan Léhon?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Tarbes (1,690) and Dinan Léhon (1,721).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tarbes have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Dinan Léhon have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Saumur(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 16, 2026 | Blagnac(away) | 2-1 | National 3 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Onet-le-Château(home) | 6-1 | National 3 - Group A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Lège-Cap-Ferret(home) | 4-4 | National 3 - Group A |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Pau II(away) | 1-0 | National 3 - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Angoulême(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 16, 2026 | Angoulême(home) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Saint-Malo(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Saumur(home) | 6-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Châteaubriant(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group A |
How many goals should we expect?
Tarbes score 2.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Dinan Léhon score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarbes | 2.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Dinan Léhon | 1.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tarbes sit 11th in National 2 - Group B (1 points from 1 matches) and Dinan Léhon sit 15th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Tarbes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Dinan Léhon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tarbes vs Dinan Léhon?
- The Footlab model makes Tarbes the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Dinan Léhon.
- Where and when is Tarbes vs Dinan Léhon played?
- Tarbes vs Dinan Léhon is played on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Maurice Trélut 2 - Terrain B, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.