Stade Briochin vs Lorient II: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 6Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Fred Aubert, Saint-Brieuc
The Footlab model makes Stade Briochin the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Lorient II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stade Briochin vs Lorient II?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Stade Briochin (1,758) and Lorient II (1,724).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stade Briochin have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Lorient II have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Le Poiré sur Vie(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Versailles(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Quevilly(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 3 |
| May 1, 2026 | Aubagne(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chauray(home) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 16, 2026 | Poitiers(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Angoulême(away) | 2-3 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Saint-Malo(home) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Saumur(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Stade Briochin win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Lorient II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | Lorient II 2-1 Stade Briochin | National 2 - Group C |
| Nov 10, 2023 | Stade Briochin 2-1 Lorient II | National 2 - Group C |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Lorient II 0-3 Stade Briochin | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 14, 2019 | Stade Briochin 3-1 Lorient II | National 2 - Group B |
| May 18, 2019 | Lorient II 0-0 Stade Briochin | National 2 - Group C |
| Dec 22, 2018 | Stade Briochin 2-1 Lorient II | National 2 - Group C |
Last archived meeting: Lorient II vs Stade Briochin on Apr 6, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Stade Briochin score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lorient II score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Briochin | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Lorient II | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stade Briochin sit 5th in National 2 - Group B (3 points from 1 matches) and Lorient II sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lorient II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Stade Briochin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stade Briochin vs Lorient II?
- The Footlab model makes Stade Briochin the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Lorient II.
- Where and when is Stade Briochin vs Lorient II played?
- Stade Briochin vs Lorient II is played on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Fred Aubert, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.