Tarlan vs Cesna: result 4-2 and analysis
1. DivisionRegular Season - 9Kick-off on July 23, 2011 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Qajimuqan Muñaytpasov
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What was the result of Tarlan vs Cesna?
Tarlan won 4-2 on July 23, 2011.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tarlan have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Cesna have 6, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2011 | Lashyn(away) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Jul 3, 2011 | Gefest(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Jun 26, 2011 | Kaspiy(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Jun 23, 2011 | Ile-Saulet(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Jun 16, 2011 | Okzhetpes(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2011 | Ekibastuz(away) | 1-4 | 1. Division |
| Jul 13, 2011 | Spartak Semey(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Jul 6, 2011 | Astana-64(home) | 6-2 | 1. Division |
| Jul 3, 2011 | Bulat(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Jun 26, 2011 | Akzhayik(away) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Tarlan score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cesna score 1.7 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarlan | 1.0 | 0.9 | 8 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Cesna | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/14 | 8/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy