Tarpa vs Diósgyőr II: prediction and stats
NB III - NortheastNortheast - 30Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tarpa Sportcentrum, Tarpa
The Footlab AI model makes Diósgyőr II the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Tarpa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Diósgyőr II wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tarpa vs Diósgyőr II?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Tarpa (1,390) and Diósgyőr II (1,438).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tarpa vs Diósgyőr II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tarpa
Not enough data to predict the Tarpa lineup.
Diósgyőr II
Not enough data to predict the Diósgyőr II lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tarpa have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Diósgyőr II have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kisvárda II(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Northeast |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Debrecen II(home) | 1-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza II(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Salgótarjáni BTC(home) | 1-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Tiszafuredi VSE(home) | 0-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ózd Sajóvölgye(home) | 1-3 | NB III - Northeast |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Eger(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 26, 2026 | DEAC(home) | 5-2 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Füzesabony(away) | 3-1 | NB III - Northeast |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Salgótarjáni BTC(away) | 1-0 | NB III - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Tarpa win, 0 draws, 1 Diósgyőr II win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Tarpa 2-1 Diósgyőr II | NB III - Northeast |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Diósgyőr II 2-1 Tarpa | NB III - Northeast |
How many goals should we expect?
Tarpa score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Diósgyőr II score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarpa | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Diósgyőr II | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tarpa sit 15th in NB III - Northeast (6 points from 11 matches) and Diósgyőr II sit 8th (16 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Diósgyőr II | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 16 |
| 15 | Tarpa | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 6 |
A question about Tarpa vs Diósgyőr II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tarpa vs Diósgyőr II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Diósgyőr II the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Tarpa.
- Where and when is Tarpa vs Diósgyőr II played?
- Tarpa vs Diósgyőr II is played on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tarpa Sportcentrum, in the NB III - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.