Tartu Welco vs Elva: result 3-2 and analysis
Esiliiga ARegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 27, 2025 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Annelinna Gümnaasium staadion, Tartu
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What was the result of Tartu Welco vs Elva?
Tartu Welco won 3-2 on October 27, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 31′A. PajuElva
- 45′538813Tartu Welco
- 68′E. IlvesElva
- 74′J. PetmansonTartu Welco
- 86′A. KiivitTartu Welco
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tartu Welco have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Elva have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | Nõmme Kalju II(home) | 5-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Tallinna Kalev II(away) | 3-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Poseidon(away) | 6-0 | Cup |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Viimsi(home) | 1-4 | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 27, 2025 | FCI Levadia II(away) | 1-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | FCI Levadia II(away) | 1-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 19, 2025 | FC Tallinn(home) | 1-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Nõmme Kalju II(home) | 0-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Tallinna Kalev II(away) | 3-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Viimsi(away) | 1-1 | Esiliiga A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Tartu Welco win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Elva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2025 | Elva 1-2 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Tartu Welco 2-5 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Elva 3-1 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Elva 0-1 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Tartu Welco 0-0 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Tartu Welco 0-0 Elva | Esiliiga A |
How many goals should we expect?
Tartu Welco score 2.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Elva score 1.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tartu Welco | 2.7 | 1.4 | 6 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Elva | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tartu Welco sit 1st in Esiliiga A (38 points from 16 matches) and Elva sit 4th (23 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 47 | 19 | 38 |
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 25 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 74 | 35 | 54 |
| 4 | Elva | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 23 |
| 4 | Elva | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 42 | 37 | 38 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy