TEC vs Excelsior '31: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Lok, Tiel
The Footlab AI model makes TEC the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Excelsior '31. The most likely score is 1-1. If TEC wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TEC vs Excelsior '31?
A very open match: only 1 Elo point separates TEC (1,790) and Excelsior '31 (1,792).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for TEC vs Excelsior '31
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
TEC
Not enough data to predict the TEC lineup.
Excelsior '31
Not enough data to predict the Excelsior '31 lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:56 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TEC have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Excelsior '31 have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | SVZW(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Staphorst(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Eemdijk(home) | 7-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2026 | JOS Watergraafsmeer(away) | 4-4 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Hercules(away) | 4-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | ADO '20(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sportlust '46(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dovo(home) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | AFC '34(home) | 4-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hoogeveen(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 TEC wins, 1 draw, 1 Excelsior '31 win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | TEC 1-1 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Excelsior '31 1-2 TEC | Derde Divisie |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Excelsior '31 3-1 TEC | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 24, 2024 | TEC 3-1 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
TEC score 2.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior '31 score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEC | 2.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Excelsior '31 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TEC sit 6th in Derde Divisie (19 points from 9 matches) and Excelsior '31 sit 5th (19 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Excelsior '31 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 19 |
| 6 | TEC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 16 | 19 |
A question about TEC vs Excelsior '31?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TEC vs Excelsior '31?
- The Footlab AI model makes TEC the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Excelsior '31.
- Where and when is TEC vs Excelsior '31 played?
- TEC vs Excelsior '31 is played on April 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Lok, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.