Excelsior '31 vs TEC: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Koerbelt, Rijssen
The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior '31 the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for TEC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Excelsior '31 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Excelsior '31 vs TEC?
A very open match: only 1 Elo point separates Excelsior '31 (1,792) and TEC (1,791).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Excelsior '31 vs TEC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Excelsior '31
Not enough data to predict the Excelsior '31 lineup.
TEC
Not enough data to predict the TEC lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Excelsior '31 have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; TEC have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | ADO '20(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sportlust '46(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dovo(home) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | AFC '34(home) | 4-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hoogeveen(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | SVZW(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Staphorst(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Eemdijk(home) | 7-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2026 | JOS Watergraafsmeer(away) | 4-4 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Hercules(away) | 4-2 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Excelsior '31 win, 1 draw, 2 TEC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | TEC 1-1 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Excelsior '31 1-2 TEC | Derde Divisie |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Excelsior '31 3-1 TEC | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 24, 2024 | TEC 3-1 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Excelsior '31 score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; TEC score 2.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior '31 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| TEC | 2.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Excelsior '31 sit 5th in Derde Divisie (19 points from 9 matches) and TEC sit 6th (19 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Excelsior '31 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 19 |
| 6 | TEC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 16 | 19 |
A question about Excelsior '31 vs TEC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Excelsior '31 vs TEC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior '31 the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for TEC.
- Where and when is Excelsior '31 vs TEC played?
- Excelsior '31 vs TEC is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Koerbelt, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.