Tepatitlán vs Leones Negros UDG: result 1-1 and analysis
Liga de Expansión MXApertura - 6Kick-off on September 7, 2025 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Gregorio Tepa Gómez, Tepatitlán de Morelos
Full time
What was the result of Tepatitlán vs Leones Negros UDG?
Tepatitlán and Leones Negros UDG drew 1-1 on September 7, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 25′R. CamachoLeones Negros UDG
- 82′554715Tepatitlán
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tepatitlán have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Leones Negros UDG have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2025 | Correcaminos Uat(away) | 4-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Dorados(home) | 3-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Tapatío(away) | 3-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 9, 2025 | CDS Tampico Madero(home) | 0-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Atlante FC(away) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2025 | Tlaxcala(home) | 2-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Tapatío(home) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Correcaminos Uat(away) | 2-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Irapuato(home) | 4-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 3, 2025 | CDS Tampico Madero(away) | 0-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tepatitlán win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Leones Negros UDG win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Leones Negros UDG 2-1 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Tepatitlán 2-1 Leones Negros UDG | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Tepatitlán 1-1 Leones Negros UDG | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Leones Negros UDG 1-0 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Apr 11, 2024 | Leones Negros UDG 3-2 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Tepatitlán 0-0 Leones Negros UDG | Liga de Expansión MX |
Last archived meeting: Leones Negros UDG vs Tepatitlán on Apr 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tepatitlán score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Leones Negros UDG score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tepatitlán | 1.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Leones Negros UDG | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tepatitlán sit 16th in Liga de Expansión MX (0 points from 4 matches) and Leones Negros UDG sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros UDG | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Leones Negros UDG | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 15 | Tepatitlán | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy