Teplice vs FK Jablonec: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)AGC Aréna Na Stínadlech, Teplice
The Footlab model makes FK Jablonec the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Teplice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Teplice vs FK Jablonec?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Teplice (1,945) and FK Jablonec (2,011).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Teplice have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; FK Jablonec have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zbrojovka Brno(home) | 0-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sparta Praha(away) | 1-4 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Plzen(home) | 5-5 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slovan Liberec(away) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bohemians 1905(home) | 3-1 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Rīgas FS(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slovácko(home) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Rīgas FS(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pardubice(away) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Teplice win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 FK Jablonec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | FK Jablonec 1-0 Teplice | Czech Liga |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Teplice 0-1 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Teplice 0-1 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| Nov 2, 2024 | FK Jablonec 3-0 Teplice | Czech Liga |
| Dec 6, 2023 | FK Jablonec 3-2 Teplice | Czech Liga |
| Aug 6, 2023 | Teplice 0-0 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: FK Jablonec vs Teplice on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Teplice score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FK Jablonec score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teplice | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| FK Jablonec | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Teplice sit 9th in Czech Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and FK Jablonec sit 5th (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | FK Jablonec | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Teplice | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Teplice vs FK Jablonec?
- The Footlab model makes FK Jablonec the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Teplice.
- Where and when is Teplice vs FK Jablonec played?
- Teplice vs FK Jablonec is played on August 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at AGC Aréna Na Stínadlech, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.