Sparta Praha vs Slavia Praha: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)epet ARENA, Praha
The Footlab model makes Slavia Praha the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Sparta Praha. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Praha vs Slavia Praha?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Sparta Praha (2,079) and Slavia Praha (2,174).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Praha have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Slavia Praha have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Artis(away) | 4-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Teplice(home) | 4-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Lyon(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(away) | 0-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bohemians 1905(home) | 2-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Slovan Liberec(away) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Pardubice(home) | 2-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Baník Ostrava(away) | 4-0 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Slovácko(home) | 5-1 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sparta Praha win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Slavia Praha win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Slavia Praha 3-1 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Sparta Praha 1-1 Slavia Praha | Czech Liga |
| May 10, 2025 | Slavia Praha 2-1 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Sparta Praha 2-0 Slavia Praha | Czech Liga |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Slavia Praha 2-1 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
| May 11, 2024 | Sparta Praha 0-0 Slavia Praha | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Slavia Praha vs Sparta Praha on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Praha score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Slavia Praha score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Praha | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Slavia Praha | 2.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sparta Praha sit 5th in Czech Liga (9 points from 5 matches) and Slavia Praha sit 1st (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Sparta Praha | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Praha vs Slavia Praha?
- The Footlab model makes Slavia Praha the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Sparta Praha.
- Where and when is Sparta Praha vs Slavia Praha played?
- Sparta Praha vs Slavia Praha is played on August 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at epet ARENA, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.