Baník Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Městský stadion - Vítkovice Aréna, Ostrava
The Footlab model makes Baník Ostrava the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Sigma Olomouc. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baník Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Baník Ostrava (1,917) and Sigma Olomouc (1,972).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baník Ostrava have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Sigma Olomouc have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Artis(home) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hradec Králové(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slavia Praha(home) | 0-4 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Zlin(away) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | AS Trencin(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pardubice(home) | 3-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slovácko(away) | 2-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Artis(away) | 2-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(home) | 2-2 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FK Jablonec(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Baník Ostrava win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Sigma Olomouc win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Baník Ostrava 2-0 Sigma Olomouc | Czech Liga |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Sigma Olomouc 1-0 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
| May 3, 2025 | Baník Ostrava 0-0 Sigma Olomouc | Czech Liga |
| Apr 22, 2025 | Baník Ostrava 2-3 Sigma Olomouc | Cup |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Baník Ostrava 1-0 Sigma Olomouc | Czech Liga |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Sigma Olomouc 2-2 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Baník Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Baník Ostrava score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sigma Olomouc score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baník Ostrava | 1.8 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Sigma Olomouc | 1.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baník Ostrava sit 10th in Czech Liga (6 points from 4 matches) and Sigma Olomouc sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sigma Olomouc | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | Baník Ostrava | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baník Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc?
- The Footlab model makes Baník Ostrava the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Sigma Olomouc.
- Where and when is Baník Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc played?
- Baník Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc is played on August 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Městský stadion - Vítkovice Aréna, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.