Teplice vs Pardubice: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)AGC Aréna Na Stínadlech, Teplice
The Footlab model makes Teplice the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Pardubice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Teplice vs Pardubice?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Teplice (1,931) and Pardubice (1,870).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Teplice have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Pardubice have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zbrojovka Brno(home) | 0-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sparta Praha(away) | 1-4 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Plzen(home) | 5-5 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slovan Liberec(away) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bohemians 1905(home) | 3-1 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc(away) | 1-3 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(home) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slavia Praha(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FK Jablonec(home) | 0-2 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Hradec Králové(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Teplice win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Pardubice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Pardubice 1-1 Teplice | Czech Liga |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Teplice 0-0 Pardubice | Czech Liga |
| May 25, 2025 | Teplice 3-0 Pardubice | Czech Liga |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Teplice 2-0 Pardubice | Czech Liga |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Pardubice 0-1 Teplice | Czech Liga |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Pardubice 1-1 Teplice | Czech Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Teplice score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pardubice score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teplice | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Pardubice | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Teplice sit 9th in Czech Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Pardubice sit 13th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Teplice | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 7 |
| 13 | Pardubice | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Teplice vs Pardubice?
- The Footlab model makes Teplice the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Pardubice.
- Where and when is Teplice vs Pardubice played?
- Teplice vs Pardubice is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at AGC Aréna Na Stínadlech, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.