Zbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Městský fotbalový stadion Srbská, Brno
The Footlab model makes Zbrojovka Brno the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Baník Ostrava. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava?
Zbrojovka Brno starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (2,047 vs 1,921).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zbrojovka Brno have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Baník Ostrava have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Teplice(away) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Slovan Liberec(home) | 0-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Plzen(away) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sparta Praha(home) | 3-1 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Podbrezová(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Artis(home) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hradec Králové(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slavia Praha(home) | 0-4 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Zlin(away) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | AS Trencin(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Zbrojovka Brno win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Baník Ostrava win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2023 | Baník Ostrava 4-0 Zbrojovka Brno | Czech Liga |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Zbrojovka Brno 2-1 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
| Aug 31, 2022 | Baník Ostrava 1-2 Zbrojovka Brno | Czech Liga |
| May 1, 2021 | Baník Ostrava 1-1 Zbrojovka Brno | Czech Liga |
| Dec 23, 2020 | Zbrojovka Brno 0-1 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Baník Ostrava vs Zbrojovka Brno on May 6, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Zbrojovka Brno score 2.0 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Baník Ostrava score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zbrojovka Brno | 2.0 | 0.5 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Baník Ostrava | 1.8 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zbrojovka Brno sit 7th in Czech Liga (7 points from 4 matches) and Baník Ostrava sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Zbrojovka Brno | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Baník Ostrava | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava?
- The Footlab model makes Zbrojovka Brno the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Baník Ostrava.
- Where and when is Zbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava played?
- Zbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Městský fotbalový stadion Srbská, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.