Plzen vs Sparta Praha: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Doosan Aréna, Plzeň
The Footlab model makes Plzen the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Sparta Praha. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Plzen vs Sparta Praha?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Plzen (2,054) and Sparta Praha (2,079).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plzen have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Sparta Praha have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zlin(home) | 3-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Teplice(away) | 5-5 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zbrojovka Brno(home) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Slovan Liberec(home) | 1-3 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Artis(away) | 4-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Teplice(home) | 4-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Lyon(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(away) | 0-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Plzen win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Sparta Praha win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Sparta Praha 0-0 Plzen | Czech Liga |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Plzen 0-0 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Sparta Praha 2-1 Plzen | Czech Liga |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Plzen 2-0 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Sparta Praha 1-0 Plzen | Cup |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Sparta Praha 2-4 Plzen | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Praha vs Plzen on May 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Plzen score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Praha score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plzen | 2.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Sparta Praha | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Plzen sit 12th in Czech Liga (5 points from 4 matches) and Sparta Praha sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sparta Praha | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
| 12 | Plzen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Plzen vs Sparta Praha?
- The Footlab model makes Plzen the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Sparta Praha.
- Where and when is Plzen vs Sparta Praha played?
- Plzen vs Sparta Praha is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Doosan Aréna, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.