Plzen vs Sparta Praha: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Doosan Aréna, Plzeň
The Footlab AI model makes Plzen the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Sparta Praha. The most likely score is 1-1. If Plzen wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Plzen vs Sparta Praha?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Plzen (2,072) and Sparta Praha (2,129).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Plzen vs Sparta Praha
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Plzen
4-2-3-1- 25C. Kabongo
- 17P. Hrošovský
- 99A. Memić
- 12A. Sojka
- 36S. PirgiÄ
- 20Jiří Maxim Panoš
- 14Merchas Doski
- 40S. Dweh
- 29A. Gabriel
- 98F. Prebsl
- 1D. Ťapaj
Sparta Praha
4-2-3-1- 14J. Braut Brunes
- 38H. Sochurek
- 27E. Singhateh
- 28R. Macek
- 17J. Mercado
- 26P. Vydra
- 6T. Guddal
- 2M. Suchomel
- 30J. Zelený
- 25K. Hoever
- 44J. Surovčík
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 08:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plzen have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Sparta Praha have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(home) | 3-0 | Czech Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Slavia Praha(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc(home) | 2-3 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Lillestrom(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pardubice(home) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Vysočina Jihlava(home) | 5-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc(away) | 3-0 | Czech Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(away) | 4-1 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Plzen wins, 2 draws, 2 Sparta Praha wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Sparta Praha 0-0 Plzen | Czech Liga |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Plzen 0-0 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Sparta Praha 2-1 Plzen | Czech Liga |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Plzen 2-0 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Sparta Praha 1-0 Plzen | Cup |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Sparta Praha 2-4 Plzen | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Praha vs Plzen on May 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Plzen score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Praha score 2.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plzen | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Sparta Praha | 2.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Plzen sit 11th in Czech Liga (13 points from 10 matches) and Sparta Praha sit 5th (18 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sparta Praha | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 18 |
| 11 | Plzen | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 13 |
A question about Plzen vs Sparta Praha?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Plzen vs Sparta Praha?
- The Footlab AI model makes Plzen the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Sparta Praha.
- Where and when is Plzen vs Sparta Praha played?
- Plzen vs Sparta Praha is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Doosan Aréna, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.