Teramo vs Notaresco: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Gaetano Bonolis, Teramo
The Footlab model makes Teramo the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Notaresco. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Teramo vs Notaresco?
Teramo starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,899 vs 1,760).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Teramo have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Notaresco have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Notaresco(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| May 10, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| May 3, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Recanatese(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Victor San Marino(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Teramo(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| May 10, 2026 | Ancona(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| May 3, 2026 | Ancona(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Victor San Marino(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Teramo win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Notaresco win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Teramo 3-1 Notaresco | Serie D - Girone F |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Teramo 1-0 Notaresco | Serie D - Girone F |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Notaresco 0-2 Teramo | Serie D - Girone F |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Teramo 0-1 Notaresco | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Teramo 1-2 Notaresco | Serie D - Girone F |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Notaresco 0-1 Teramo | Serie D - Girone F |
How many goals should we expect?
Teramo score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Notaresco score 1.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teramo | 1.8 | 1.0 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Notaresco | 1.4 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Teramo sit 3rd in Serie D - Girone F (74 points from 34 matches) and Notaresco sit 5th (51 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65 | 29 | 74 |
| 5 | Notaresco | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 43 | 31 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Teramo vs Notaresco?
- The Footlab model makes Teramo the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Notaresco.
- Where and when is Teramo vs Notaresco played?
- Teramo vs Notaresco is played on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gaetano Bonolis, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Sep 13, 2026Termoli CalciovsAngelana
- Sep 13, 2026Vigor SenigalliavsReal Giulianova
- Sep 13, 2026Atletico AscolivsMaceratese
- Sep 13, 2026FossombronevsL'Aquila
- Sep 13, 2026Lanciano FCvsSporting Trestina
- Sep 13, 2026PietralungavsFoligno Calcio
- Sep 13, 2026SantegidiesevsRecanatese