Teramo vs Real Giulianova: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 4Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Gaetano Bonolis, Teramo
The Footlab model makes Teramo the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Real Giulianova. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Teramo vs Real Giulianova?
Teramo starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,878 vs 1,729).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Teramo have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Real Giulianova have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Notaresco(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| May 10, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| May 3, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Recanatese(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Victor San Marino(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Ostia Mare(home) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Maceratese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Chieti(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Castelfidardo Calcio(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Unipomezia(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Teramo win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Real Giulianova win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Teramo 1-1 Real Giulianova | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Real Giulianova 1-4 Teramo | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Teramo vs Real Giulianova on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Teramo score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Real Giulianova score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teramo | 1.8 | 1.0 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Real Giulianova | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Teramo sit 3rd in Serie D - Girone F (74 points from 34 matches) and Real Giulianova sit 7th (49 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65 | 29 | 74 |
| 7 | Real Giulianova | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Teramo vs Real Giulianova?
- The Footlab model makes Teramo the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Real Giulianova.
- Where and when is Teramo vs Real Giulianova played?
- Teramo vs Real Giulianova is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gaetano Bonolis, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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