Atletico Ascoli vs Teramo: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Don Mauro Bartolini, Ascoli Piceno
The Footlab model makes Teramo the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Atletico Ascoli. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Ascoli vs Teramo?
Teramo starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,879 vs 1,757).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Ascoli have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Teramo have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pineto(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Teramo(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| May 3, 2026 | Teramo(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sammaurese(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Notaresco(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| May 10, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| May 3, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Recanatese(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Victor San Marino(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Atletico Ascoli win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Teramo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Teramo 2-1 Atletico Ascoli | Serie D - Girone F |
| May 3, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli 1-1 Teramo | Serie D - Girone F |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Teramo 1-2 Atletico Ascoli | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Atletico Ascoli 0-0 Teramo | Serie D - Girone F |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Teramo 0-0 Atletico Ascoli | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Teramo vs Atletico Ascoli on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Ascoli score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Teramo score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Ascoli | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Teramo | 1.8 | 1.0 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Ascoli sit 4th in Serie D - Girone F (55 points from 34 matches) and Teramo sit 3rd (74 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65 | 29 | 74 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 55 | 34 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Ascoli vs Teramo?
- The Footlab model makes Teramo the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Atletico Ascoli.
- Where and when is Atletico Ascoli vs Teramo played?
- Atletico Ascoli vs Teramo is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Don Mauro Bartolini, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.