Terranuova Traiana vs Ternana: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 34Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Mario Matteini, Terranuova Bracciolini
The Footlab model makes Ternana the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Terranuova Traiana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Terranuova Traiana vs Ternana?
Ternana starts as the favourite with a 180-point Elo edge (1,860 vs 1,680).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Terranuova Traiana have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Ternana have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grosseto(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Orvietana Calcio(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Camaiore(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Pianese(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Pianese(home) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bra(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Perugia(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Juventus U23(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Terranuova Traiana score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ternana score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terranuova Traiana | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Ternana | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 30 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Terranuova Traiana vs Ternana?
- The Footlab model makes Ternana the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Terranuova Traiana.
- Where and when is Terranuova Traiana vs Ternana played?
- Terranuova Traiana vs Ternana is played on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Mario Matteini, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.