Mezzolara vs Montevarchi Calcio: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 34Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Pietro Zucchini, Budrio
The Footlab AI model makes Montevarchi Calcio the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Mezzolara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Montevarchi Calcio wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,997 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mezzolara vs Montevarchi Calcio?
Montevarchi Calcio starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,757 vs 1,642).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mezzolara vs Montevarchi Calcio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mezzolara
Not enough data to predict the Mezzolara lineup.
Montevarchi Calcio
Not enough data to predict the Montevarchi Calcio lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 07:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mezzolara have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Montevarchi Calcio have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Flaminia(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sasso Marconi Zola(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Grassina(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rondinella(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ternana(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Progresso(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Robur Siena(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
How many goals should we expect?
Mezzolara score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Montevarchi Calcio score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mezzolara | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Montevarchi Calcio | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mezzolara sit 14th in Serie D - Girone E (8 points from 7 matches) and Montevarchi Calcio sit 10th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Montevarchi Calcio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 10 |
| 14 | Mezzolara | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
A question about Mezzolara vs Montevarchi Calcio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mezzolara vs Montevarchi Calcio?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montevarchi Calcio the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Mezzolara.
- Where and when is Mezzolara vs Montevarchi Calcio played?
- Mezzolara vs Montevarchi Calcio is played on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Pietro Zucchini, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.