Teuta Durrës vs Tirana: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Niko Dovana, Durrës
The Footlab model makes Tirana the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Teuta Durrës. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Teuta Durrës vs Tirana?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Teuta Durrës (1,729) and Tirana (1,762).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Teuta Durrës have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Tirana have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Partizani(away) | 0-0 | Superliga |
| May 16, 2026 | Pogradeci(home) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| May 10, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë(home) | 3-2 | Superliga |
| May 6, 2026 | Flamurtari(away) | 1-1 | Superliga |
| May 2, 2026 | Tirana(home) | 0-1 | Superliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | AF Elbasani(away) | 3-1 | Superliga |
| May 6, 2026 | Vllaznia Shkodër(home) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| May 2, 2026 | Teuta Durrës(away) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Partizani(home) | 2-1 | Superliga |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Dinamo Tirana(away) | 1-1 | Superliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Teuta Durrës win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Tirana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Teuta Durrës 0-1 Tirana | Superliga |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Tirana 0-1 Teuta Durrës | Superliga |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Teuta Durrës 1-1 Tirana | Superliga |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Tirana 0-0 Teuta Durrës | Superliga |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Tirana 0-1 Teuta Durrës | Superliga |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Teuta Durrës 2-1 Tirana | Superliga |
Last archived meeting: Teuta Durrës vs Tirana on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Teuta Durrës score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tirana score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teuta Durrës | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Tirana | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Teuta Durrës sit 8th in Superliga (42 points from 36 matches) and Tirana sit 6th (44 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tirana | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 36 | 46 | 44 |
| 8 | Teuta Durrës | 36 | 9 | 15 | 12 | 32 | 37 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Teuta Durrës vs Tirana?
- The Footlab model makes Tirana the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Teuta Durrës.
- Where and when is Teuta Durrës vs Tirana played?
- Teuta Durrës vs Tirana is played on August 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Niko Dovana, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.