Teutonia Ottensen vs ETSV Hamburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 19Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Gottfried-Tönsfeld Sportplatz, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes ETSV Hamburg the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Teutonia Ottensen. The most likely score is 1-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Teutonia Ottensen vs ETSV Hamburg?
ETSV Hamburg starts as the favourite with a 288-point Elo edge (2,021 vs 1,733).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Teutonia Ottensen have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; ETSV Hamburg have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Altona 93(away) | 1-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 31, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Concordia(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 12, 2026 | Buchholz(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | HEBC(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Concordia(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tus Dassendorf(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Buchholz(home) | 6-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Teutonia Ottensen win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 ETSV Hamburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg 2-1 Teutonia Ottensen | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen 1-0 ETSV Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 3, 2025 | ETSV Hamburg 3-1 Teutonia Ottensen | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jan 26, 2025 | ETSV Hamburg 2-4 Teutonia Ottensen | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Teutonia Ottensen 0-2 ETSV Hamburg | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: ETSV Hamburg vs Teutonia Ottensen on Jul 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Teutonia Ottensen score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; ETSV Hamburg score 3.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teutonia Ottensen | 1.2 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| ETSV Hamburg | 3.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Teutonia Ottensen sit 7th in Oberliga - Hamburg (52 points from 34 matches) and ETSV Hamburg sit 1st (83 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ETSV Hamburg | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 126 | 27 | 83 |
| 7 | Teutonia Ottensen | 34 | 17 | 1 | 16 | 57 | 66 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Teutonia Ottensen vs ETSV Hamburg?
- The Footlab model makes ETSV Hamburg the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Teutonia Ottensen.
- Where and when is Teutonia Ottensen vs ETSV Hamburg played?
- Teutonia Ottensen vs ETSV Hamburg is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Gottfried-Tönsfeld Sportplatz, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.