Vorwärts-Wacker 04 vs Paloma: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 19Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz Öjendorfer Weg, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Paloma the favourite at 68%, against 16% for a draw and 16% for Vorwärts-Wacker 04. The most likely score is 1-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vorwärts-Wacker 04 vs Paloma?
Paloma starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,910 vs 1,722).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vorwärts-Wacker 04 have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Paloma have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | HT16(away) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Paloma(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nikola Tesla(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pinneberg(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(away) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 24, 2026 | HT16(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Türkiye(away) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Vorwärts-Wacker 04 win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Paloma win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Paloma 1-2 Vorwärts-Wacker 04 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04 1-3 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 5, 2025 | Paloma 2-1 Vorwärts-Wacker 04 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 16, 2025 | Paloma 2-3 Vorwärts-Wacker 04 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04 0-2 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: Paloma vs Vorwärts-Wacker 04 on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vorwärts-Wacker 04 score 1.5 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 15; Paloma score 2.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vorwärts-Wacker 04 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Paloma | 2.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vorwärts-Wacker 04 sit 14th in Oberliga - Hamburg (38 points from 34 matches) and Paloma sit 5th (61 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Paloma | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 84 | 50 | 61 |
| 14 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04 | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 85 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vorwärts-Wacker 04 vs Paloma?
- The Footlab model makes Paloma the favourite at 68%, against 16% for a draw and 16% for Vorwärts-Wacker 04.
- Where and when is Vorwärts-Wacker 04 vs Paloma played?
- Vorwärts-Wacker 04 vs Paloma is played on December 4, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz Öjendorfer Weg, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.