Süderelbe vs Harksheide: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 19Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Kiesbarg, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Süderelbe the favourite at 63%, against 18% for a draw and 19% for Harksheide. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Süderelbe vs Harksheide?
Süderelbe starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,828 vs 1,706).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Süderelbe have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Harksheide have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nikola Tesla(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Harksheide(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Altona 93(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 8, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Tus Dassendorf(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sasel(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Süderelbe(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Pinneberg(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | HT16(away) | 4-5 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Süderelbe win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Harksheide win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Harksheide 1-1 Süderelbe | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Süderelbe 5-0 Harksheide | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Harksheide 3-6 Süderelbe | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Harksheide 0-1 Süderelbe | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Süderelbe 2-3 Harksheide | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Harksheide 0-1 Süderelbe | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: Harksheide vs Süderelbe on Jul 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Süderelbe score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Harksheide score 1.6 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Süderelbe | 2.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Harksheide | 1.6 | 2.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Süderelbe sit 8th in Oberliga - Hamburg (51 points from 34 matches) and Harksheide sit 11th (45 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Süderelbe | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 72 | 64 | 51 |
| 11 | Harksheide | 34 | 14 | 3 | 17 | 65 | 92 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Süderelbe vs Harksheide?
- The Footlab model makes Süderelbe the favourite at 63%, against 18% for a draw and 19% for Harksheide.
- Where and when is Süderelbe vs Harksheide played?
- Süderelbe vs Harksheide is played on December 4, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Kiesbarg, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.