Süderelbe vs Harksheide: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 19Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Kiesbarg, Hamburg
The Footlab AI model makes Süderelbe the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for Harksheide. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Süderelbe vs Harksheide?
Süderelbe starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,827 vs 1,691).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Süderelbe vs Harksheide
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Süderelbe
Not enough data to predict the Süderelbe lineup.
Harksheide
Not enough data to predict the Harksheide lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Süderelbe have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Harksheide have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | HEBC(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pinneberg(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 11, 2026 | HT16(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | HEBC(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Altona 93(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Buchholz(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 11, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Concordia(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Süderelbe wins, 1 draw, 1 Harksheide win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Harksheide 1-1 Süderelbe | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Süderelbe 5-0 Harksheide | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Harksheide 3-6 Süderelbe | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Harksheide 0-1 Süderelbe | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Süderelbe 2-3 Harksheide | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Harksheide 0-1 Süderelbe | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: Harksheide vs Süderelbe on Jul 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Süderelbe score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Harksheide score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Süderelbe | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Harksheide | 1.7 | 1.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Süderelbe sit 8th in Oberliga - Hamburg (51 points from 34 matches) and Harksheide sit 11th (45 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Süderelbe | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 72 | 64 | 51 |
| 11 | Harksheide | 34 | 14 | 3 | 17 | 65 | 92 | 45 |
A question about Süderelbe vs Harksheide?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Süderelbe vs Harksheide?
- The Footlab AI model makes Süderelbe the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for Harksheide.
- Where and when is Süderelbe vs Harksheide played?
- Süderelbe vs Harksheide is played on December 4, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Kiesbarg, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.